2015-10-15.log

--- Log opened Thu Oct 15 00:00:57 2015
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archels"[...] self-driving cars should not be fully self-driving [...]"01:42
archelsMindell says. “I’m not arguing this from first principles. There are 40 years’ worth of examples.”01:42
archelswhere's the logic in that?01:42
archels"we couldn't do it in the past 40 years or ever before, thus we will never be able to do it"01:42
dreth?02:13
drethshould not or can not?02:13
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archelsas far as I understand it, his argument is "we could not in the past 40 years, hence we should not"02:21
archelsit's a total non sequitur02:21
drethhttp://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/mv9/open_thread_oct_12_oct_18_2015/ctjb02:21
drethI mean the argument might be "this is really hard so don't try to do it if hte consequences of fucking it up are really high"02:22
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kanzureself-driving horses are the worst04:49
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kanzurecampy space song https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=284AIMKPvc405:09
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poppingtonicDIY gene therapy: http://www.technologyreview.com/news/542371/a-tale-of-do-it-yourself-gene-therapy/?utm_campaign=newsletters&utm_source=newsletter-daily-all&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2015101406:24
kanzure"According to documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on April 27, she’d raised $250,000 for BioViva"06:30
kanzuredunno if this counts as diy06:30
kanzureusing a CRO definitely doesn't count as diy06:31
kanzure"One current collaborator on the BioViva project is Jason Williams, a radiologist who has attracted scrutiny for offering unlicensed stem-cell treatments to patients suffering from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, or ALS. Williams says he ceased providing those treatments in the United States in 2013, after the FDA asked him to stop, saying they required agency approval. Williams later established a clinic in Bogotá, Colombia."06:32
kanzure"In an interview, Williams said he was a co-owner of BioViva and had assigned rights in a patent to the company. He said the treatment had occurred in Colombia, although not at his clinic."06:33
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kanzuredreth: good point, maybe the other seals also had all the same genetic problems, and we just have selective memory. but i suspect we have seen that in other populations too (dogs).06:42
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kanzurehttp://www.nature.com/news/where-in-the-world-could-the-first-crispr-baby-be-born-1.1854206:52
poppingtonicto point at a William Gibson novel, the DIY gene therapy story is very close to what happened in Virtual Light06:53
kanzurewhat, blatant lies and journalism stinking up the place again?06:54
kanzurei'm supposed to be okay with the lie about "DIY" because otherwse it's supposed to make me sound like i'm calling the other stuff a lie, but i'm not falling for this trap. i hate people.06:55
poppingtonicthe journalism on this is pretty bad, actually.06:56
archelsKevin Warwick coming to my university November06:57
poppingtonicI see what you mean about the DIY lie. Now anything with DIY bio in the name will look like what this article depicts.06:57
kanzurenah, that has been happening to diybio for a while now06:57
kanzurecathal garvey even took to calling his venture capital program an example of diybio. except it's just companies, startups, and VC money. so..... yeah..06:58
kanzuremaybe diybio should switch to using a name like "biologists going their own way" so that everyone will stay away from hijacking the name06:59
kanzure(in the context of "BGTOW" i would say having a CRO make your drug for you, and then having some random doctor inject you (wtf?), would qualify; it's just certainly not do-it-yourself)07:01
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archelskanzure: surely at some point you can no longer expect a person to perform every step in the process themselves07:44
archelsif the tools and methods are public domain, and there are n (for n >> 1) CROs available to pick from, where's the problem07:44
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kanzurearchels: there's no problem at all; it's just not diy.07:51
kanzurearchels: getting the materials from a CRO sounds like a good idea to me.07:51
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archelsyes but I also didn't DIY build my soldering iron or my oscilloscope07:55
archelsbut they're so commodity it doesn't matter07:55
archelssame for DIYbio?07:55
kanzureer, i don't know, what am i supposed to be judging?07:56
archelswell, I think this is more than a discussion about semantics07:56
archelsthe semantics of the term DIYbio07:56
archelsit's about not being able to do every single step of a constructive/creative process absolutely single-handedly07:57
kanzurethe utility of the term is zero if it means "business as usual"07:57
kanzureto their credit, they did not claim it was diy-related, rather that was the journalist's fault07:58
kanzure.title https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1039131307:59
yoleauxTheranos Has Struggled with Blood Tests | Hacker News07:59
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kanzurehttp://medienportal.univie.ac.at/presse/aktuelle-pressemeldungen/detailansicht/artikel/larger-brains-do-not-lead-to-high-iqs/08:11
kanzurehttp://medicalxpress.com/news/2015-10-larger-brains-high-iqs.html08:11
kanzurehttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014976341500250X08:11
kanzurebut on the other hand i don't think anyone was claiming brain size contributed much to iq differences anyway08:11
kanzure08:12 <@gwern> 'robust but weak' eh. r=.24, even. so exactly what intelligence researchers have been claiming for the past 30 or 40 years?08:13
kuudesat least over here in finland, head circumference of newborns has been steadily increasing, and they had again recently to enlarge the head circumference norms08:20
kuudesfor some reason they made a note that "larger heads do not mean more intelligence" even though the article portrayed both head size and intelligence in a positive light, I wonder why it still seems worth mentioning to someone?08:20
kuudeshttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2149578408:21
kanzure.title08:21
yoleauxNew Finnish reference for head circumference from birth to 7 years. - PubMed - NCBI08:21
kuudesups, sorry, wrong window08:22
kuudesoh well, it was relevant here as well :)08:22
kanzureyou have a funny definition of wrong channel08:22
kuudes:D08:22
kuudesI just haven't talked much on this channel and am still unsure of what I should and should not say here :)08:23
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kanzurefenn: phone call later today with kosuri, let me know if there's anything you would like me to ask and/or extract08:41
kanzurenmz787: same question for you08:41
poppingtonic.wik gene therapy08:47
yoleaux"Gene therapy is the therapeutic delivery of nucleic acid polymers into a patient's cells as a drug to treat disease. Gene therapy could be a way to fix a genetic problem at its source. The polymers are either expressed as proteins, interfere with protein expression, or possibly correct genetic mutations." — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_therapy08:47
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JayDuggerGood morning, everyone.09:02
eudoxiagood morning09:02
streetythanks for the link poppingtonic, will be interesting to see what happens next.09:03
streetyIs the William Gibson book worth reading?09:03
eudoxiaprobably not09:03
JayDuggerVirtual Light? No.09:05
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FourFirekanzure, what article are we mad at?09:43
FourFire(link please?)09:43
streetyI think it was http://www.technologyreview.com/news/542371/a-tale-of-do-it-yourself-gene-therapy/?utm_campaign=newsletters&utm_source=newsletter-daily-all&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2015101409:44
FourFirethanks, gtg09:44
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streetythanks for the reviews on the book. I was familiar with the authors name, but not the book.09:45
streetyI'm fairly sure I've read Neuromancer, but the plot now escapes me. Probably not a god sign.09:46
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kanzurenmz787: kosuri call is happening later today, did you read the paper and what questions/stuff do you want me to bring up?10:36
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ryankarasoni be reading some gibson this morning!!12:00
ryankarasonon the 3rd book of the sprawl series, mona lisa overdrive12:00
ryankarasoni am enjoying :)12:00
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kanzureralph mcquarrie art stuff http://imgur.com/a/RlnuM http://imgur.com/a/O1N1I http://imgur.com/a/e2ExM http://imgur.com/a/CX3dU13:06
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kanzurehmm kosuri coauthored a study with marblestone http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9780470559277.ch11019013:16
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kanzurehttp://genomics.xprize.org/news/blog/cancellation-of-archon-genomics-xprize-public-debate13:17
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berndjwhat's the argument for believing that the scaling of effort required to create superhuman intelligences is something convenient, something that allows one to expect a singularity?13:39
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nmz787_i.title http://www.picbasic.co.uk/forum/showthread.php?t=739313:51
yoleauxBit Angle Modulation (BAM) in a PIC13:51
nmz787_ipretty interesting13:51
nmz787_ihere's an attached PDF in that forum http://www.picbasic.co.uk/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=312313:52
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mginralph mcquarrie art stuff: awesome14:06
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mginincredible14:06
kanzureokay done with the call. have transcript, but summary is supportive but otherwise done dealing with synthesis.14:10
kanzureberndj: dunno if you can promise a singularity like that, but a basic argument is the difference in cognitive ability between even just certain humans and humans that appear alien in their cognitive ability.14:11
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berndjkanzure, i'm not trying to promise anything; in fact i'm a singularity skeptic - i'm not convinced at all that we're staring into a post-star trek future14:12
archelsberndj: "everything everywhere is always exponential" or something like that14:13
berndjarchels: including the difficulty of achieving each increment in intelligence14:14
archelsnah that part is elided14:14
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kanzureberndj: you can have high cognitive ability and still not get a singularity anyway.14:15
berndjkanzure, the whole "singularity is upon us!" thing reminds me of zeno's paradox, where it only seems like a singularity because of a poor choice of coordinate system14:16
berndji'd *like* to be worried about something as geeky as an AI armageddon, but... i'm not14:18
kanzurewell, you're not wrong14:20
kanzurenot sure what you want us to do about this though :-)14:20
berndjconvince me that i should be worried?14:20
kanzurewrong channel for that14:20
kanzureyou're thinking of #lesswrong14:21
berndjoh :-/14:21
kanzurewe aren't the existential worry warriors in here14:21
kanzure(XRWs just doesn't have the same ring as the other *W, but whatever)14:22
berndjmaybe i misunderstood this channel's purpose/interests/otherthings14:22
kanzureberndj: there's a good overview here, http://diyhpl.us/wiki/hplusroadmap14:22
berndji read too much into "transhumanism", i think14:23
kanzurefenn: the conversation was a little strange.... like, he listed out things to worry about when engineering such a machine, such as humidity, but he treated this like an insurmountable set of problems (probably just exhaustion about having to find all of the problems? or that he doesn't think anyone is careful enough to check all the parameters and conditions..?)14:24
kanzureberndj: well, i mean, yes many transhumanists are interested in worrying about singularities. but i find the utility of this worrying to be very low.14:24
kanzureworrying about a singularity isn't going to build me a dyson sphere, or reveal the location of the stolen data plans14:24
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fennohnoes engineering14:32
fenndid he say anything else14:33
fennlink to transcript?14:33
nmz787_ikanzure: call/transcript about synthesis???14:36
kanzurehttp://diyhpl.us/~bryan/papers2/bio/protein-engineering/Design%20of%20a%20single-chain%20polypeptide%20tetrahedron%20assembled%20from%20coiled-coil%20segments.pdf14:37
kanzurefenn: http://diyhpl.us/~bryan/2015-10-15-sri-kosuri.txt14:40
nmz787_ikanzure: just reading the logs now... nah I didn't really have any questions, except something like "well what do you have to tell us that is /interesting/ rather than a review of all the stuff we already know?"14:40
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kanzuretoo late14:41
kanzurefenn: yeah i think there's a large anti-engineering bias in general in this field. i don't know where it originates from.14:42
kanzurei mean, they aren't explicitly anti-engineering... they parrot the benefits of machines and tools and specifications... but then it never materializes.14:42
nmz787_iwell seems like he answered that anyway  with "We're out of the oligo synthesis thing."14:42
kanzureor if it does materialize, it's only at much larger companies.14:42
nmz787_iaka 'we gave up' or 'that is too boring for us'14:42
kanzurewell, i think it's because in 2014 he moved out of george church's lab14:43
nmz787_iI wonder who is doing the reviews for actual synthesis experiments/research...14:46
nmz787_iif no one is... well I guess that means better chance for one of us to get there first14:47
nmz787_ithere's a guy on youtube that picks items from this to work-through on-camera: http://www.introni.it/pdf/Williams%2006%20-%201995%20-%20EDN%20-%20A%20designer's%20guide%20to%20Innovative%20Linear%20Circuits.pdf14:48
nmz787_iapparently this Jim Williams is something of an Analog Superstar14:49
nmz787_i.wik Jim Williams (analog designer)14:49
yoleaux"James M. "Jim" Williams (April 14, 1948 – June 12, 2011) was an analog circuit designer and technical author who worked for the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1968–1979), Philbrick, National Semiconductor (1979–1982) and Linear Technology Corporation (LTC) (1982–2011). He suffered a stroke on June 10 and died on June 12, 2011." — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Williams_(analog_designer)14:49
nmz787_i"He wrote over 350 publications[3] relating to analog circuit design, including 5 books, 21 application notes for National Semiconductor, 62 application notes for Linear Technology, and over 125 articles for EDN Magazine."14:49
nmz787_iheh "1ppm settling time measurement for a monolithic 18-bit DAC: When does the last angel stop dancing on a speeding pinhead?"14:50
nmz787_i"Acoustic thermometry is an arcane, elegant temperature measurement technique. It utilizes sound’s temperature dependent transit time in a medium to measure temperature. The medium may be a solid, liquid or gas. Acoustic thermometers function in environments that conventional sensors cannot tolerate. Examples include extreme temperatures, applications where the sensor would be subjected to destructive physical abuse and nuclear reactors. Gas14:51
nmz787_ipath acoustic thermometers respond very quickly to temperature changes because they have essentially no thermal mass or lag."14:51
nmz787_ihttp://cds.linear.com/docs/en/application-note/an131f.pdf14:51
nmz787_iheheheh, turn the old "everything's OK" alarm into a thermometer...14:52
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nmz787_ilinkedin strangely thinks it created a page for 'my company'... and said page has a link to http://nucleicresources.com/about_us.html16:00
fennroman jerala's rationally engineered protein looked like something i was hoping had existed (april 2013) http://diyhpl.us/~bryan/papers2/bio/protein-engineering/Design%20of%20a%20single-chain%20polypeptide%20tetrahedron%20assembled%20from%20coiled-coil%20segments.pdf16:17
fenngratz on getting a job in wisconsin~16:18
fenn"Founder at Nucleic Devices" probably caused the confusion16:19
fennyou should hire nate mccorkle as a sales rep16:20
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fenn_ /nick fenn16:30
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paskyhttp://lifemag.org/article/10-things-we-learned-from-liz-parrish-s-reddit-ama maybe old news for you?16:41
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poppingtonicCrowdSupply campaign for the Ultimate Hacking Keyboard: https://www.crowdsupply.com/ugl/ultimate-hacking-keyboard?utm_source=launch&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=uhk17:47
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streetydo they really need $200k to bring that to market?18:04
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poppingtonichow much do you think it would cost to make only one of those? If you were machining all the parts yourself, testing and doing QA?18:47
kanzurewell how many are they making?18:48
streetyit's priced at $200 for each keyboard so they're looking to make a thousand18:49
poppingtonicNo, that would mean they break even.18:50
kanzureno way they are doing it at-cost18:50
streetyI'm not suggesting that is how much it costs to make, only that the price they are charging is $20018:51
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poppingtonicThe number has to be so that they make a profit. Which means that it would be cheaper than $200 to make.18:51
streetyyes18:51
poppingtonicWait, not "has to". It just seems like that to my mental model which includes economies-of-scale calculations in hardware projects.18:52
streetyare you talking about the unit cost for them or the cost of DIYing a equivalent device?18:53
poppingtonicBoth. To my mind, DIYing an equivalent device would be more expensive than mass-producing, whatever "mass" means in this context. Unit cost is cheaper and subject to deals with manufacturers etc.18:56
poppingtonicUnless all the per-unit expensive-to-manufacture components are designed and sold en-masse, separately, in such a modular fashion, and so cheaply that it's just a matter of designing a form factor that looks exactly like that one device. That seems unlikely.18:59
fennit's not much different from a kinesis freestyle19:00
kanzurewhy aren't we past split keyboards yet19:00
fennbecause everything is terrible19:01
poppingtonicwhat, no BCI?19:01
kanzurebci is also terrible19:02
streetyyes, the fixed costs would make a single unit expensive, even 10, 50, or 100 maybe. But given that all the design work has already been done, 500 units seems like just as good a run size as 100019:02
kanzuremarblestone thesis was about possibly better neural interfaces http://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/12274513/Marblestone_gsas.harvard_0084L_11381.pdf?sequence=119:03
poppingtonicIf I were to simulate what would look like a good growth model for these guys, then if they're looking to get 1000 keyboards out, that means that they're looking for the canonical "1000 fans" who help them get enough word-of-mouth for preorders, more sales and so on.19:05
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poppingtonicBut 1000 is the anchor we've set in this conversation right here, so "M-x grain-of-salt".19:09
poppingtonicI actually enjoy reading science phd theses.19:10
kanzure" To address this challenge, we mobilized the intellectual e୭forts of more than 17 collaborators across many disciplines and institutions, asking what it would take to record from all neurons in a mouse brain at millisecond resolution, based on an analysis from ୮ୢrst principles ofphysics and from the known biophysics of the brai[434]. This analysis has been featured in a number of subsequent white-papers [144, 585, 136] and was ...19:17
kanzure... highlighted in Nature Physics[86]."19:17
kanzure"We structured the analysis around three problems: (1) All neurons must be probed at a sufficient rate, (2) the energy transmitted into the brain must not cause thermal damage and (3) the volume of instrumentation introduced into the brain must not cause physical damage. We found that all existing approaches require orders of magnitude improvement in key parameters in order to scale to whole brain observations. Electrical recording is ...19:18
kanzure... limited by the low multiplexing capacity of electrodes and their lack of intrinsic spatial resolution, optical methods are constrained by the scattering of visible light in brain tissue, magnetic resonance is hindered by the di୭fusion and relaxation timescales of water protons, and the implementation of molecular recording is complicated by the stochastic kinetics of enzymes."19:18
kanzure"We also studied the physics of powering and communicating with microscale devices embedded in brain tissue and found that, while radio-frequency electromagnetic data transmission suffers from a severe power–bandwidth tradeo୭f, communication via infrared light or ultrasound may allow high data rates due to the possibility of spatial multiplexing. The use of embedded local recording and wireless data transmission would only be viable, ...19:18
kanzure... however, given major improvements to the power efficiency of microelectronic devices."19:18
kanzure"The purpose of exploring the physical limits of brain activity mapping is to identify asumptions whose strategic, purposeful violation could create opportunitiॶ for novel solutions. With Brad Zamft, Michel Maharbiz and Konrad Kording, we have organized a series of meetings among researchers from several fields, in order to architect solutions to the problem of scalable neural recording. This has led to several theoretical proposals ...19:20
kanzure... which are now being actively vetted at a preliminary design stage. One of these, sensor multiplexing via fiber-optic re୯୳ectometry, is brie୯୳y described in a supplemental note to Chapter 3."19:21
kanzure"molecular ticker tape" is dna polymerase misincorporation influenced by neuron cation concentration19:22
kanzure"In work led by Josh Glaser 227, we also published the first theoretical paper on the molecular recording device concept. This paper establishes limits on the temporal resolution of recording that arise from molecular stochasticity, and derives the need for molecular clocking mechanisms to achieve singlespike resolution. A brief summary of this theoretical analysis is included in Chapter 3."19:22
kanzurei like his approach ("identify asumptions whose strategic, purposeful violation could create opportunitiॶ for novel solutions")19:27
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poppingtonickanzure you read the whole thing?19:33
poppingtonic"supplemental note", "brief summary"19:39
poppingtonicit's like a Fractal of Interesting.19:40
JayDuggerGood evening.19:47
poppingtonic Hello JayDugger20:07
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--- Log closed Fri Oct 16 00:00:58 2015

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