2015-04-24.log

--- Log opened Fri Apr 24 00:00:31 2015
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dgenr8the nature of the fork matters. no strong reason for users to switch to a fork with higher (or lower) block reward.  OTOH a fork that somehow resulted in a structurally lower fee market would be attractive to users.08:11
sipalower fee, and lower security :)08:12
sipanothing is for free08:12
stonecoldpatif the fee is too low, the miners just wont accept them, which would still be valid in that type of fork08:13
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dgenr8suppose there is a technology improvement that allows lower fees without reducing security.08:18
sipawell someone has to pay for the security08:19
sipanow, it is mostly subsidy that pays08:19
dgenr8does someone have to pay for SHA256 being better than SHA1?08:19
sipaover time... who knows08:19
sipai don't ghink you understand08:19
sipabitcoin solves a theoretically unsolvable problem... by making it economically inattractive to cheat08:20
sipabut it does not really solve it08:20
dgenr8you claim such an improvement is impossible, yes?08:21
sipayes08:21
sipathere may be other solutions of course, that equally result in a useful digital payment system08:21
sipabut it will have different tradeoffs08:22
sipaso you can't call it a strict improvement08:22
dgenr8you claim a strict improvement is impossible.08:22
sipayes08:22
adam3usdgenr8: so at some point i had a go at working out if you could do make a secure offline ecash system if you had fully homomorphic encryption.  the answer seemed to be no.  you could do it with trusted hardware, but then you have to trust the hardware maker so it still fails.08:23
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dgenr8so that's one thing that didn't work ;)08:23
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dgenr8different example. suppose a new opcode satisfies some enormous social need. a bitcoin fork is published, and 60% of hashing adopt it one day. still irrelevant?08:46
sipayes08:47
sipabut if it satisfies enormous social need, probably non miners will adopt it too08:47
sipawhich matters08:47
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dgenr8thats what I mean08:48
sipabut the miners adopting it per se is not relevant08:48
sipawhat matters is that people who *use* bitcoin validation choose to upgrade08:48
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sipaif they do, miners are forced to upgrade too08:50
sipaif they don't, then miners upgrading has no effect08:50
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sipathe point is that miners opinion about it is not more rekevant than anyone else's opinion08:51
sipawhile it is for a softfork08:51
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stonecoldpatdgenr8: one way i've been thinking about it recently, miners basically own the means of production, their workers are machine and they are producing something that the general population want. (so means of production/workers/general population) - if the means of production produce something that nobody likes, then the general population will just ignore it. So it is in the means of08:53
stonecoldpatproductions interests to produce something that the people want - but only if they are making profit.08:53
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sipaexactly08:53
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sipaminers produce something that satisfies the constraints the full node network demands08:53
sipaif the demands change, miners either upgrade or become irrelevant (this is a hardfork)08:54
sipaminers of course can choose to enforce extra constraints on top of this (this is a softfork)08:54
dgenr8in the example, users might decide to switch after they see what the miners have done08:56
sipaminers don't "do" anything08:56
sipathe validation rules enforced by miners have no effect08:56
sipaunless full nodes adopt them too08:57
sipaas you can't security rely on them being encofrced otherwise08:57
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dgenr8accepting a new opcode is doing something08:57
dgenr8i don't claim rational miners would do things this way though.  it's just a hypothetical.08:57
sipaif they do that now, without full node support, miners leave the consensus!08:58
sipathey cannot just start accepting a new opcode without making their blocks invalid08:58
TaekI thought new opcodes were soft forks?08:58
sipaif they are refinements of nops, yes08:58
sipain which case everything dgenr8 says is true08:59
sipabut the orinal discussion was about whether or not miner support matters for a hardfork08:59
sipaso i assume he was talking about a hardfork change09:00
dgenr8i was, and i agree it is not rational for miners.  but if it were done, users have a choice: stay on 40% for without whizbang feature, or switch09:01
dgenr8s/for/fork09:01
sipadgenr8: they have that chojce whether miners adopt it or not!09:02
sipaif there are suddenly full nodes that fork off and introduce a new opcode, users can already choose which fork to use09:02
sipaeach fork will have 100% miner support from its own perspective09:03
sipaas the blocks produced by the other miners do not count09:03
TaekI do imagine that people would be more likely to switch to a new hardfork if that hardfork had more mining power09:03
dgenr8^09:03
sipawhy?09:03
dgenr8more secure.  global hash power is a scarce resource09:04
Taekit's reasurring, and to the common person seems more secure09:04
Taekalso makes them more confident that everyone is doing it09:04
sipafull node security is far stronger than the little power that mindrs have09:04
Taekright but that's not how the average Bitcoin user understands it09:05
sipasay tomorrow bitpay, coinbase and bitgo announce they will switch to a new fork09:05
sipawhich miners hate09:05
sipawhat would happen?09:05
Taek/r/bitcoin would explode09:05
sipayes :p09:05
sipaand likely bitcoin would be dead, due to lack of trust09:06
sipabut assume people accept this... they would switch along09:06
sipaand miners not switching would be totally irrelevant09:06
Taekthat's true09:06
sipait won't take long for some miners to pop up on the new chain09:06
sipaand the difficulty would adapt to them09:07
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sipaif people already follow miner majority, they can just all run spv nodes09:08
sipaand full nodes would be irrelevant09:08
sipamuch cheaper09:08
Taekbut if coinbase, bitpay, and bitgo all announced a hard fork, AND 70% of the mining power supported the hardfork, there would probably be less resistance.09:08
Taek/r/bitcoin would still explode09:08
sipaof course09:08
sipain practice, there is s huge incentive for compromise09:08
sipabut still, in establishing that compromise, miners do not have a privileged position09:09
sipaeconomic power does09:09
sipaminers matter, as they are part of the ecosystem09:10
sipabut, other than for a softfork, they are not the only ones who.matter09:10
sipaand there is no reason to base decisions on % hashrate09:10
dgenr8my point is not that miners are privileged.  it is that innovations will have an effect regardless of the particulars of how they are introduced09:12
sipaof course, no disagreement there09:12
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dgenr8sipa: would you be concerned to learn of the existence of a dark hashpower block, say 300% the size of live bitcoin mining?09:27
sipayes09:27
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dgenr8isn't that the same thing as living on a fork with 25% hashpower?09:28
sipabut as much as being concerned that users would switch to the full node software that hashpower uses09:28
petertodddgenr8: +109:28
sipabut not as much09:28
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sipayes, it is identical09:28
sipabut you're suggesting that is enough reason to switch to that fork09:29
kanzureit is enough reason to suspect those miners might attack your fork09:29
sipawhich is disagree very strongly with09:29
sipait works the other way too: if miners know that users would not switch to their fork, they will have less incentive to start the fork in the first place09:30
petertodda very realistic possibility here is if the next reward halving reduces profitability to the point where mining is untenable - suppose the economic majority decides to go with a still-deflationary reward schedule to fix the issue, and the hashing power decides to go with 25BTC/block forever - there's a very high chance that the hashing power will get their way09:30
petertoddit's a case where doing nothing will lead to bitcoin being destroyed anyway, so miners don't acrually have a strong downside - users might as well go with the fork that's secure09:31
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sipapetertodd: so you're saying full nodes don't actually have a say about what rules the network ends up using?09:32
sipathat is very sad09:32
sipait's not black and white of course09:32
petertoddsipa: that's exactly what I'm saying - or to be exact, of course they have a say, but it's not a black-and-white say like many people portray it as09:33
sipafair enough, i agree09:33
sipathe incentive for compromise is huge09:33
sipaand miners have a say in what that compromise ends up being09:33
sipabut they're not the only ones09:33
petertoddminers definitely hold a disproportiate amount of power in the bitcoin system, and they definitely can force changes through - albeit at risk to them. point is, the risk is disproportionately bourn by al users, rather than just miners09:33
siparight09:34
petertoddanother problem, is that mining has a built-in way to co-ordinate actions - user's *don't* have a clear way to coordinate actions09:34
petertodd(or at least, they don't have any methods that miners don't - miners can organisee on reddit too)09:35
sipahow do you mean, the CEO of Bitcoin decides?09:35
petertoddI mean, miners can prove consent to changes with hashing power - users can't09:35
sipathey csn indicate consent09:36
sipathey can't prove consent09:36
petertoddconsent != they will actually accept :)09:36
siparight, ok09:36
sipausers can too, by putting a vote in transactions!09:36
sipa.... which miners can censor09:36
sipabut then again, a miner majority can censor other miners too09:37
petertoddexactly - the only solid publication medium available is the blockchain; everything else is fuzzy social consensus09:37
cfields_users choose to deal with vendors/exchangers who back their horse09:37
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petertoddequally, proof-of-stake sort-of works, but has severe problems in practice, like unavailability of cold storage09:37
cfields_(claim to, anyway)09:38
petertoddcfields_: yes, but they can't prove that09:38
kanzurethe problem is more like, "even if users decide to ignore a certain fork because of consensus reasons, those miners can still provide hashrate to attack your consensus-unchanged network" because you can't filter out certain miners really09:38
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kanzure(and filtering out miners would be bad, anyway)09:39
petertoddkanzure: better yet, miners could choose to switch to a fork that required you to prove you tried to attack the original as part of the mining process09:39
sipaavailability of hashpower not on your fork affects your means of judging your chdin's security09:39
sipapetertodd: ugh!09:39
petertoddsipa: heh09:40
kanzureis there some sort of merge-mining help here09:40
sipamerge-mining is just mining with 0 marginal cos09:40
petertoddsipa: nor do you really need something that fancy if you have 95% miner opposittion to a change anyway - getting 5% from the 95% to attack the original is unlikely to be hard09:40
petertoddkanzure: the proof you tried to attack the original would be implemented *with* merge-mining09:41
kanzurealright the only solution i could think of is that satoshi arises from the grave and sells all of his bitcoin on the alternate fork09:42
sipalol09:42
kanzurewait, that's not a solution. hm.09:42
kanzurethere's really no way to opt out of consensus changes like that09:43
petertoddkanzure: sure there is! hav the Bitcoin Foundation sign blocks09:43
kanzureeven though the naive solution ("keep running your old consensus code") looks like an answer, it really isn't09:44
petertoddkanzure: and in the case of SPV clients, it definitely isn't09:44
dgenr8halvings are not an incentive problem as long as BTC keeps getting more valuable at a faster rate than the halvings.  so we think about making it better, and making it better adopted09:44
kanzurebecause if you have 0.1% hashrate then you'll just be reorged to infinity for a while09:44
petertoddkanzure: pruning is fun too, if people start trusting UTXO commitments for old history...09:44
kanzurei suppose one solace is that an attacker can't attack all possible forks at the same time09:45
stonecoldpatassuming 95% miners did switch, and the population did not, even with the attacks - the currency would probably be dead anyway09:45
sipakanzure: except pos :)09:45
stonecoldpati dont think there would be a fix09:45
kanzureso as long as the absolute number of attacks he has to participate in is greater than the amount of hashrate he has available to throw at the problem while also mining on his evil fokr, then the originals win09:45
sipastonecoldpat: indeed, it would mean consensus has failed09:46
kanzurefor example, he can't commit 0.1% a million times over to a million different chains to reorg-attack 'em09:46
kanzureespecially if he is busy trying to secure his own evil consensus fork09:46
petertoddstonecoldpat: exactly my point. Miners have the choice to either go along with what the economic majority wants, or not, and option #2 always results in them either winning, or Bitcoin itself being destroyed. (so long as they stick to option #2!)09:46
kanzurei agree that getting proofs from others about their participatin in attacks is likely to be problematic, but not when you consider the large number of forks that can arise compared to the amount of hashpower that the colluding group can muster09:47
kanzure*participation09:47
petertoddthe economic majorities power is limited to trying to encourage miners by paying them - if they aren't paying enough miners have every reason to stick to a fork that's best for them and hope the economic majority gives in and starts paying them again09:48
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kanzureanother thing that would help is if the mining incentives reset on the ones that are being potentially-attaced, so that low-scale miners could be incentivized to show up with the promise of bitcoin09:48
petertoddhell, this all looks kinda like standard union negotiation scenarios...09:48
kanzurebut the 2 week lag or whatever is maybe problematic for that sort of incentive09:48
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kanzurepetertodd: it's not just a majority hashchain vs minority hashchain, there will be many minority chains that might cumulatively add up to greater than the majority hashrate chain (possibly evil consensus chain).09:49
petertoddkanzure: **will* be? in what scenario?09:50
kanzureas long as the evil hashrate chain miner can't just switch to every existing alternative and insta-mine 1 billion blocks, i think an evil consensus attack will fail09:50
petertoddkanzure: in my block reward scedule example it's highly likely there are just three forks - original, economic majority, and hashing power majority09:51
kanzurethe scenario was "a majority of hashrate is accumulated to mine on some fork that has invalid consensus rules, users are told to switch over, businesses switch because their partners have already switched, etc." and "it may be difficult to continue running with the actual rules since the majority hashrate can switch to your blockchain and pummel you" (and my above comments are explaining why this isn't as drastic as onen might thik)09:52
kanzurehm why only 3 though. wouldn't everyone want to jump on board and try their hand at an original-rules fork to get their hands on some sweet mining rewards?09:52
petertoddkanzure: because in that example the original rules aren't profitable09:52
kanzurei'm not sure i buy that :-)09:53
petertoddkanzure: we're looking at original, 12.5BTC/block, econ majority, say, 20BTC/block, declining every two years, and miner majority, 25BTC/block09:53
petertodd*25BTC/block forever09:53
kanzurei mean, sure, okay they switch to some other non-original rules but my point was "something other than the evil-consensus-rules"09:53
kanzurebbl09:54
petertodddon't use the word "evil" here - from the miners point of ivew, 25BTC/block forever is the right solution, economic majority thinks their version is right09:54
kanzureevil does not mean wrong09:54
* petertodd rolls eyes09:55
kanzureheh09:55
kanzurebut really, bbl09:55
petertoddlater09:55
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gmaxwellandytoshi: I wonder if it's possible to use this as just a 'devel time dependency' but make it easy to build without it? https://github.com/nrc/libhoare18:55
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andytoshioh gmaxwell, i was just poking at that today19:08
andytoshithe short answer is yes, there are debug_* variants of all the contracts19:08
andytoshithe long answer is yes, rust will let you make any decorator conditional on the compilation mode :)19:09
andytoshii haven't had an opportuntity to play with it yet, my rust time has been spent on halfsleep (mutation testing) which requires a bunch of work since i need to build a namespace for all the identifiers to get their paths straight19:11
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