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itsme__ | Donate me please for new PC!)"156T9eSZCFjZixrjUxFzz9K2DrnWnXHuJg".Sorry and thanks) | 00:53 |
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fluffypony | itsme__: no. | 01:41 |
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itsme__ | Donate me please for new PC!)"156T9eSZCFjZixrjUxFzz9K2DrnWnXHuJg".Sorry and thanks) | 02:00 |
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maaku | kanzure: http://tendermint.com/blog/critique-merkle-dao-democracy/ | 08:13 |
kanzure | so this is what merkle is up to? hmph... freitas should hit him over the head with a broom. | 08:14 |
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kanzure | ouch, freitas reviewed this apparently? why. | 08:19 |
kanzure | this is awful. this is way off the deep end. | 08:19 |
kanzure | prediction markets have a "grouding problem" (i'm not sure how widely known this is) | 08:22 |
pigeons | is a "grounding problem" where you can stand to win a lot more than it costs to influence the outcome? | 08:24 |
kanzure | no, no. it's more related to evaluation, semantics, proving that two predictions are the same or not, etc. | 08:24 |
kanzure | and outcome evaluation | 08:25 |
pigeons | ok. i think there are many acknowledged problems with such markets, I'll look into that one | 08:25 |
kanzure | merkle's paper is severely lacking of a null hypothesis (governance doesn't work beyond some small number of folks, if even then; or the null hypothesis should be "politics is a bad idea" or something). | 08:25 |
kanzure | and there is no good reason to assume that crowds are better at maintaining mission integrity... bleh. | 08:28 |
pigeons | but they "swarm"!! | 08:28 |
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