2016-01-13.log

--- Log opened Wed Jan 13 00:00:03 2016
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kanzure"Temperature and temperament: evidence from a billion tweets" http://ei.haas.berkeley.edu/research/papers/WP265.pdf09:34
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delinquentmedoes anyone know of CMOS cameras are software-focusing?12:13
xentracthe fabrication technology of the focal plane sensor has nothing to do with the lens mechanics; they are entirely independent12:16
xentracperhaps you mean "does a choice of CMOS as the focal plane sensor fabrication technology prevent you from using a camera design that captures enough information about the light field to refocus after taking the photo?" and in that case the answer is "no, it does not prevent that"12:17
xentracAFAIK both Lytro and FlatCam use CMOS sensors, but they could just as easily use CCDs or for that matter a Vidicon, although in the case of FlatCam a Vidicon would sort of defeat the purpose12:19
xentracwhat did you mean by your question?12:19
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kanzure12:25 <+xentrac> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_free_lunch_in_search_and_optimization interesting, the same David Wolpert who just extended Landauer's bound to arbitrary computation proved an interesting theorem about the computational complexity of general optimization problems12:28
kanzure12:26 <+kanzure> xentrac: http://no-free-lunch.org/12:28
kanzureand http://beacon-center.org/12:28
xentracdelinquentme: can you elaborate?12:31
delinquentmexentrac: simplified: why dont the CMOS cameras I'm looking at have adjustable focal distances12:31
delinquentmeor a line saying what their focal distances are12:31
delinquentmeim making guesses its because theyve got that lytro effect of ... IDK how it works12:32
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xentracdelinquentme: oh, it's probably because they have very small apertures and fixed-focus lenses, like old point-and-shoot cameras but more so12:38
delinquentmehttp://www.amazon.com/etomtop-Waterproof-Borescope-Inspection-adjustable12:38
delinquentmeFocal distance: 6cm ~ infinite12:38
xentracright12:38
xentracLooking for something?12:39
xentracWe're sorry. The Web address you entered is not a functioning page on our site12:39
xentrac(amazon)12:39
delinquentmehttp://www.amazon.com/etomtop-Waterproof-Borescope-Inspection-adjustable/dp/B014G20JP8/ref=sr_1_86?s=industrial&ie=UTF8&qid=1452715648&sr=1-86&keywords=endoscope12:40
delinquentmederps12:40
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xentracdelinquentme: some cheap cameras like this incorporate autofocus logic that using a piezoelectric motor12:50
xentracUS$80 is plenty of budget for that12:50
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xentracdelinquentme: that also looks like a super awesome tool12:58
xentracthank you :)12:59
xentrachttp://www.dofmaster.com/dofjs.html says that for a circle of confusion of 0.012mm (8mm ÷ 640), a focal length of 28mm, an f-stop of f/2.8, and a subject distance of 10 cm, your depth of field should run from 9.97 cm to 10.03 cm (although it doesn't display that correctly)13:06
xentracso I suspect that either this camera uses an autofocus motor or what the page says about its depth of field and f-stop is false13:07
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kanzurejrayhawk: is there a clever way to mark an individual ikiwiki page as private/public?14:49
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jrayhawkFor all three of HTTP access, filesystem access, and git access?15:00
kanzurehttp15:05
kanzureideally some ikiwiki-level directive15:05
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paskypeople tend to discover NFL theorem and then draw totally unwarranted conclusions from it - beware15:35
kanzureexamples?15:37
pasky"machine learning is futile", "life is futile" etc.; in particular, that it's not possible to build a practical universal engine for optimization/estimation/inference15:40
Diablo-D3what is NFL theorem?15:42
pasky21:28 < kanzure> 12:26 <+kanzure> xentrac: http://no-free-lunch.org/15:43
Diablo-D3oh, derp15:43
Diablo-D3theres no free lunch for anything15:43
Diablo-D3everything is a series of tradeoffs15:44
Diablo-D3the only thing that matters at the end of the day is that did it do what you wanted, and can you deal with the tradeoffs responsibly15:44
Diablo-D3generically, this applies TO EVERYTHING15:44
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kanzurepasky: that's quite the conclusion to extract from no free lunch15:49
kanzurepasky: "hard work is hard" should never be a good reason to resort to nihilism.15:49
Diablo-D3yeah15:50
Diablo-D3because, imo, and I know a lot of people are going to be like BAD DIABLO BAD15:50
Diablo-D3if your excuse that you don't do work is because its hard15:50
Diablo-D3its because you're lazy, not because its hard15:50
xentracpasky: the great thign about that page is that it begins with Hume's general explanation of the theorem15:50
xentracwhich you would hope would keep people from extrapolating too much from it15:50
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xentracI was surprised (Baader-Meinhof) to discover that the same David Wolpert who recently published the new extension of Landauer's bound had proved the NFL theorem15:52
xentracDiablo-D3: I think you may be confused about which subject area this theorem pertains to15:53
paskyxentrac: yes, I like that page I think15:54
Diablo-D3xentrac: Im just being an asshole atm.15:55
xentracoh, okay, never mind me then15:59
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Diablo-D3[06:40:17] <pasky> "machine learning is futile", "life is futile" etc.; in particular, that it's not possible to build a practical universal engine for optimization/estimation/inference16:01
Diablo-D3its just shit like that16:01
Diablo-D3there is nothing that is futile16:01
Diablo-D3futile is a poor man's way of saying difficult16:02
Diablo-D3difficult doesn't mean impossible, it just means difficult16:02
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Diablo-D3from what I saw of that NFL page16:04
Diablo-D3it basically says that in a useful way16:04
xentracno?16:09
Diablo-D3how no?16:09
Diablo-D3"This paper has three aims. Firstly, to clarify the poorly understood No Free Lunch Theorem (NFL) which states all search algorithms perform equally. Secondly, search algorithms are often applied to program induction and it is suggested that NFL does not hold due to the universal nature of the mapping between program space and functionality space. Finally, NFL and combinatorial problems are examined. When evaluating a candidate solution, it can be d16:10
Diablo-D3iscarded without being fully examined. A stronger version of NFL is established for this class of problems where the goal is to minimize a quantity."16:10
Diablo-D3I understand that as "NFL doesn't work because the 'right tool for the right job' trumps a lot of badly thought out early optimization bullshit"16:11
xentracwell, the NFL theorem doesn't say that anything is difficult.  it says that something is impossible.16:15
Diablo-D3xentrac: yeah, but the NFL theorem is wrong16:16
kanzurexentrac: for implanting cloth under your chest skin, perhaps instead consider bio-compatible plastics16:16
Diablo-D3xentrac: nothing is straight up impossible16:16
xentracUHMWPE is pretty biocompatible, no?16:16
xentracDiablo-D3: you might want to look up the definition of "theorem"16:16
Diablo-D3xentrac: it just requires more workarounds for the unwanted side effects16:16
Diablo-D3In mathematics, a theorem is a statement that has been proven on the basis of previously established statements, such as other theorems—and generally accepted statements, such as axioms. A theorem is a logical consequence of the axioms.16:17
Diablo-D3xentrac: I dunno, maybe I just have to read more about NFL16:17
Diablo-D3but if NFL is just a methodology on how to early fail algos and processes based on specific requirements16:18
Diablo-D3"impossible" has a narrowly defined, and more manageable, definition16:18
xentracit's not16:18
Diablo-D3then *what* is it16:18
Diablo-D3Im not getting that part16:18
xentraccan't hel you16:19
xentrachelp16:19
xentrachttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solomonoff%27s_theory_of_inductive_inference is also relevant16:19
Diablo-D3I've read about that16:23
kanzurewhy haven't i banned this guy yet16:23
superkuhBecause a little noise is useful in terms of stochastic resonance?16:24
* xentrac ♥ stochastic resonance16:24
xentracDiablo-D3: I think you're going to have to work a lot harder to understand NFL, because at this point your level of effort is so low that any effort I put into trying to explain it will be wasted16:25
Diablo-D3xentrac: so, if the NFL theorem states that if two algos produce the same results in the same amount of time, they are effectively the same, right?16:25
Diablo-D3s/if//16:26
xentracno; that's, in a way, a sort of premise on which it's based, not a statement of the result16:26
Diablo-D3https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_free_lunch_in_search_and_optimization16:26
Diablo-D3xentrac: I mean, I look at programming and such from the view point of someone who programs, not someone who does math16:27
Diablo-D3ergo, the best code I can write is one that uses the hardware most effectively16:28
Diablo-D3so I don't understand this article in the way that Im pretty sure I was meant to16:28
xentracor at all16:29
xentracyou can16:29
xentracit'll be hard16:29
Diablo-D3specialized algos that exploit the strengths of your hardware are largely preferable to generic ones that work well everywhere16:29
Diablo-D3even though they generate the same result16:29
Diablo-D3So... yeah.16:30
Diablo-D3I think this is waaay beyond me.16:30
Diablo-D3Im sorry I asked.16:30
xentracIt starts out beyond all of us.  But we can grow mentally.  There are super cool things out there you can grasp if you try :)16:31
Diablo-D3Yeah, but I swear to God I'm getting stupider16:32
Diablo-D3When I was a kid I went out and read everything I could get my hands on16:32
Diablo-D3And was constantly learning stuff16:32
Diablo-D3And stuff made sense16:32
Diablo-D3Now I read stuff and its like, what the hell, none of this makes any sense16:32
Diablo-D3"I recognize some of these words"16:32
Diablo-D3I wonder if I have early onset brain death.16:33
Diablo-D3I mean, I learned how to program when I was 6 or 716:33
xentracMore likely you're distracted by things like calling yourself stupid and being afraid of being wrong16:33
xentracor, I don't know16:34
xentracgirls16:34
Diablo-D3mmmm boobs16:34
xentracor boys16:34
Diablo-D3"Running an implementation of an algorithm on a computer costs very little relative to the cost of human time and the benefit of a good solution. If an algorithm succeeds in finding a satisfactory solution in an acceptable amount of time, a small investment has yielded a big payoff. If the algorithm fails, then little is lost."16:35
Diablo-D3That paragraph bothers me16:35
xentracor talking on IRC16:35
Diablo-D3That is basically saying its okay to spend inordinate amounts of time trying to optimize a solution further16:35
Diablo-D3because the potential pay off wrt the loss is acceptable16:36
AdrianGsounds like an argument in favor of letting computers do brute force optimization16:36
AdrianGvs spending human time16:36
Diablo-D3AdrianG: ahh, hrm16:36
Diablo-D3that might be useful16:36
Diablo-D3Ive seen computer-based evolution stuff produce incredibly interesting and optimized results16:36
Diablo-D3like those weird 3D antennas that are compact, look like modern art, and massively out perform anything humans have ever made on our own16:37
AdrianGhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computer-assisted_proof16:37
Diablo-D3but the problem is, it goes back to what I was going to say16:37
xentracyeah, that's the subject NFL pertains to, Diablo-D316:37
Diablo-D3as a programmer, Ive learned that defining the problem correctly16:37
xentracinstead of talking more I think I will go see if I can hack together a program to do a particular optimization program I'm interested in though16:37
Diablo-D3is faaaaar more important than optimizing it16:38
xentracwhile that is (unlike most of what you've said above!) relevant to the problem we're talking about16:38
Diablo-D3and the problem with a lot of academic brute force optimization work seems the computer keeps finding solutions that do what you want by the rules you gave it, but are not useful solutions because it breaks other constraints you didn't know you had until it broke them16:39
xentracit turns out that for many real-world problems, even fairly crude definitions can be useful16:39
Diablo-D3which turns into the basic "AI is going to destroy the world" problem16:39
xentracyes, exploiting bugs in simulations is a constant problem with optimization16:39
xentracyou could consider overfitting as a particularly pervasive instance of that16:39
Diablo-D3oh, like the one time the military tried to teach a computer to see enemy vs friendly tanks16:40
Diablo-D3and it focused on the fact friendly tanks had blue skies, and enemy tanks had cloudy skies16:40
Diablo-D3so a friendly tank and a cloudy sky was deemed an enemy tank16:40
xentracyes, but they were photos with and without tanks, not friendly and enemy tanks16:41
Diablo-D3oh16:41
Diablo-D3maybe Im misremembering it16:41
xentraca little16:41
Diablo-D3its been awhile since I read it16:41
Diablo-D3I might be merging two stories too16:41
xentracthat's not exactly overfitting16:41
Diablo-D3well, overfitting to me is its paying attention to variables that don't pertain to the problem16:42
xentracalso it wasn't a computer16:42
xentracit was a perceptron16:42
Diablo-D3isn't that still ran on a computer of some sorts, though?16:43
xentracpossibly16:43
xentracthe first perceptrons did not run on computers16:43
Diablo-D3yeah, they were like back in the 50s, right?16:44
xentracyeah16:44
Diablo-D3Yeah, I think I'd consider that an early computer in the sense that ASICs are "computers"16:44
Diablo-D3not in the strict sense of general purpose computing16:45
Diablo-D3actually it wouldnt even be an ASIC would it16:45
Diablo-D3since IC is integrated circuit16:45
Diablo-D3an ASDC? app specific discrete circuit?16:45
xentracI think the usual term is "circuit"16:46
Diablo-D3I dunno, an average person would see 50s hardware and call it a computer, even though its kinda not one16:47
Diablo-D3and I find that usage acceptable16:47
Diablo-D3aaaand I feel what I just said underlines a lot of problems in intelligence research16:48
Diablo-D3humans rely on a combination of inclusive and exclusive fuzzy pattern recognition16:48
Diablo-D3I have no clue how the hell humans actually function16:49
xentracreally?  you think an average person confronted with a 1950s radio transmitter would call it a "computer"?16:49
xentracoverfitting is not at all the same as "paying attention to variables that don't pertain to the problem"16:49
xentracalthough in some cases you can do both16:49
Diablo-D3a 1950s radio transmitter might not be a computer, no16:50
xentraca 1950s perceptron would look the same to an average person16:50
Diablo-D3although radio transmitters today might be computers16:50
Diablo-D3all the DSP work going on and such16:51
xentracDreyfus tells the tanks story on p.4 of http://www.jefftk.com/dreyfus92.pdf in 199216:52
xentracI haven't been able to find an earlier source; he might have invented the sotry16:52
xentracstory16:52
xentracmaybe we should ask him16:53
Diablo-D3yeah thats the story!16:53
Diablo-D3thats the one I was trying to think of, yeah, I misremembered it16:53
Diablo-D3I dunno, this may be overly simplistic, but I don't true AI can happen until we can teach it concepts the way humans understand them16:54
Diablo-D3an AI that can't understand the way the world looks to us may not produce behavior that we can actually understand as intelligent, although we'll see it is complex16:55
Diablo-D3which is also why I find depictions of aliens in scifi weird16:56
Diablo-D3true alien intelligence should be completely incomprehensible to us16:56
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Diablo-D3we would not recognize them as intelligent except as a purely abstract notion of the concept16:57
Diablo-D3like, ant colonies, as a whole, may fit some definition of intelligence16:58
Diablo-D3but no individual ant is intelligent16:59
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nmz787_ixentrac: FWIW that borescope looks almost exactly like one I paid around $20 with no active focus, underwhelming LED light power, and seemingly fake specs on the resolution16:59
nmz787_iI would tell delinquentme too, but he is gone16:59
* Diablo-D3 feels like he should get a shovel out, digging a hole would be faster with it17:00
nmz787_iI was super excited that I would be able to use it with my phone via usbOTG (which works), but practically it isn't useful because the LEDs suck so bad17:00
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Diablo-D3nmz787_i: so start hacking it and replace the LED? ;)17:00
nmz787_imaybe it would work in a small enclosed environment like a lock or something17:00
nmz787_iDiablo-D3: I bet it is all hermetically sealed, so it might rip apart if I tried anything17:01
Diablo-D3oh, that'd suck17:01
nmz787_ishoving it past an electrical socket into a wall, I get about 2 or 3 inches of visibility from the LEDs17:02
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nmz787_ikanzure: are you living in/around NYC now?18:13
maakuhe is not18:18
nmz787_iah, no potential for genspace visits or such then18:36
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cluckjnmz787_i, what about genspace visits?19:14
nmz787_ioh just thought kanzure might have been in the neighborhood19:16
nmz787_ithere is also something sebastian cocioba has been up to that looks like is getting a lot of steam put into the project19:17
cluckjoh?19:18
nmz787_iI just see lots of talk and pics sometimes19:18
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cluckjoh wow looks like bosslab has a new website19:24
cluckjand they acquired dennis :)19:26
xentrachmm, before reading http://lesswrong.com/lw/dhg/an_intuitive_explanation_of_solomonoff_induction/ I had somehow missed that Solomonoff induction goes beyond being merely infeasibly slow; it's actually uncomputable19:27
xentracI guess now I should read AIXI-tl19:28
cluckjI need a fucking job that will pay me to do stuff at genspace and bosslab again, that was really nice :/19:30
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kanzurei don't think i'm allowed in genspace19:50
cluckjI don't think you're banned19:50
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maakuxentrac: don't waste your time on AIXItl20:19
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xentracmaaku: that's interesting — I didn't expect anyone to say that.  what's wrong with it?22:49
justanotheruser^I'm curious as well23:05
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