From: Paul Sztorc <truthcoin@gmail•com>
To: Dave Hudson <dave@hashingit•com>,
Bob McElrath <bob_bitcoin@mcelrath•org>
Cc: bitcoin-dev@lists•linuxfoundation.org
Subject: Re: [bitcoin-dev] Hardfork to fix difficulty drop algorithm
Date: Wed, 9 Mar 2016 15:26:47 -0500 [thread overview]
Message-ID: <56E08707.8090306@gmail.com> (raw)
In-Reply-To: <26355E0C-1DDC-4CBD-A044-788C9C135EA6@hashingit.com>
On 3/9/2016 1:30 PM, Dave Hudson via bitcoin-dev wrote:
> The hash rate has jumped up by almost 70% in the last 6 to 7 months and that implies some pretty serious investments by miners who are quite aware of the halving.
There are a few ways in which that information would be irrelevant:
[1.] It is possible that miners expect to breakeven before the halving.
[2.] It is also possible that miners earnestly believe that there will
be no problem -- however:
... [2a.] This belief may be mistaken.
... [2b.] Miners may be counting on Core Devs to fix any problems that
come up with anything, this one included.
Also, [3.] many miners believe that the price will increase around the
time of the halving, either for market-microstructure reasons or
marketing reasons. I, personally, think that the price is as likely to
go down as up.
On 3/9/2016 1:30 PM, Dave Hudson via bitcoin-dev wrote:
> These same miners were mining with a coin price around $250 last year so in terms of profitability I'm pretty sure that one around $400 won't be a huge concern.
For some miners, currently it costs $X in electricity per coin mined,
and $400 / 2 is less than X. I do not know how representative this
information is.
Paul
next prev parent reply other threads:[~2016-03-09 20:27 UTC|newest]
Thread overview: 31+ messages / expand[flat|nested] mbox.gz Atom feed top
2016-03-02 14:56 Luke Dashjr
2016-03-02 15:05 ` Pavel Janík
2016-03-02 15:14 ` Luke Dashjr
2016-03-02 15:24 ` Jérémie Dubois-Lacoste
[not found] ` <CAE-z3OUR8So2EM_EBeEerW-UPs0KY+whVB=jjFAHkW3xZPF2Hw@mail.gmail.com>
2016-03-02 15:54 ` Tier Nolan
2016-03-02 15:42 ` Luke Dashjr
2016-03-02 16:27 ` Paul Sztorc
2016-03-02 18:07 ` Tier Nolan
2016-03-02 19:01 ` Eric Voskuil
[not found] ` <56D74859.3090609@gmail.com>
2016-03-02 20:44 ` Eric Voskuil
2016-03-02 23:02 ` Peter Todd
2016-03-03 5:11 ` Dave Scotese
2016-03-03 10:14 ` Patrick Shirkey
2016-03-03 20:54 ` Eric Voskuil
2016-03-04 10:27 ` Tier Nolan
2016-03-02 15:48 ` Dave Hudson
2016-03-08 22:05 ` Bob McElrath
2016-03-09 18:30 ` Dave Hudson
2016-03-09 20:21 ` Bob McElrath
2016-03-09 23:24 ` Dave Hudson
2016-03-09 20:26 ` Paul Sztorc [this message]
2016-03-02 16:17 ` Bryan Bishop
2016-03-02 17:14 ` David A. Harding
2016-03-02 17:53 ` Gregory Maxwell
2016-03-02 19:34 ` David A. Harding
2016-03-03 1:06 ` Paul Sztorc
2016-03-09 17:58 ` Paul Sztorc
2016-03-02 18:20 ` Peter Todd
2016-03-03 18:27 ` Corey Haddad
2016-03-04 8:41 ` Henning Kopp
[not found] ` <CA+XQW1gfnXxxCod6cL=caGnEc66YOvaF6SJL=omUbMqwLNDP7g@mail.gmail.com>
2016-03-09 20:43 ` Paul Sztorc
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