On Wed, Oct 19, 2022 at 04:29:57PM +0200, Sergej Kotliar via bitcoin-dev wrote:
> Hi all,
> 
> Chiming in on this thread as I feel like the real dangers of RBF as default
> policy aren't sufficiently elaborated here. It's not only about the
> zero-conf (I'll get to that) but there is an even bigger danger called the
> american call option, which risks endangering the entirety of BIP21 "Scan
> this QR code with your wallet to buy this product" model that I believe
> we've all come to appreciate. Specifically, in a scenario with high
> volatility and many transactions in the mempools (which is where RBF would
> come in handy), a user can make a low-fee transaction and then wait for
> hours, days or even longer, and see whether BTCUSD moves. If BTCUSD moves
> up, user can cancel his transaction and make a new - cheaper one. The

I just checked this, and Bitrefill accepts transactions with RBF enabled.

> biggest risk in accepting bitcoin payments is in fact not zeroconf risk
> (it's actually quite easily managed), it's FX risk as the merchant must
> commit to a certain BTCUSD rate ahead of time for a purchase. Over time
> some transactions lose money to FX and others earn money - that evens out
> in the end. But if there is an _easily accessible in the wallet_ feature to
> "cancel transaction" that means it will eventually get systematically

...and I checked this with Electrum on Android, which has a handy "Cancel
Transaction" feature in the UI to easily cancel a payment. Which I did. You
should have a pending payment from this email, and unsurprisingly I don't have
my gift card. :)

The ship has already sailed on this. I'd suggest accepting Lightning, which
drastically shortens the time window involved.

FWIW, fixedfloat.com already deals with this call option risk by charging a
higher fee (1% vs 0.5%) for conversions where the exact destination amount has
been locked in; the default is for the exact destination amount to be picked at
the moment of confirmation.

> abused. A risk of X% loss on many payments that's easy to systematically
> Bitrefill currently processes 1500-2000 onchain payments every day. For us,
> a world where bitcoin becomes de facto RBF by default, means that we would

Electrum is RBF by default. So does Green Wallet, and many other wallets,  as
well as many exchanges. Most of those wallets/exchanges don't even have a way
to send a transaction without RBF. This ship has sailed.

-- 
https://petertodd.org 'peter'[:-1]@petertodd.org